Kitchen.EnglandVsAmericaVsSingapore (r1.1 vs. r1.8)
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 <<O>>  Difference Topic EnglandVsAmericaVsSingapore (r1.8 - 13 Nov 2005 - CatherineJohnson)

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 <<O>>  Difference Topic EnglandVsAmericaVsSingapore (r1.7 - 22 Aug 2005 - KtmGuest)

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-- CatherineJohnson - 27 Jul 2005
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From my experience, calculus is not required for business majors at some schools. I have a degree in accounting, and the year before I attended college, our "Calculus for Business Majors" requirement was replaced with Intermediate Algebra. While nothing in my coursework required calculus, I think that the calculus I took in high school better prepared me to understand economic relationships.

I'm currently working at another college which requires analytic geometry & pre-calc (not calculus) for its business majors.

I advise mechanical engineering students at a college. We've found that 60% of our incoming freshman are unprepared for calculus (which we, of course, require). It boggles my mind that this figure doesn't include all incoming freshmen--just those who think they're suited to become engineers!

-- KtmGuest - 22 Aug 2005


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 <<O>>  Difference Topic EnglandVsAmericaVsSingapore (r1.6 - 27 Jul 2005 - CatherineJohnson)

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27 Jul 2005 - 13:48
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-- CatherineJohnson - 27 Jul 2005
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Yes.

46% of Singapore kids were in the top 10% of all test takers.

That we know.

Oh!

Good grief.

I used the wrong figure. I was using 505 as their average, not 605.

Unbelievable.

THEY HAVE AN AVERAGE SCORE OF 605.

I'm completely blown away.

Obviously, I couldn't keep that in my brain because it's so outrageously high.

Absolutely, you're right. The bell curve centers on 605 which is just 20 points shy of the HOTSHOT IN MATH cut-off.

This country, which was dirt poor about 5 seconds ago, has put probably at least 40% of its students in position to major in math-related subjects in college.

-- CatherineJohnson - 27 Jul 2005


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 <<O>>  Difference Topic EnglandVsAmericaVsSingapore (r1.5 - 27 Jul 2005 - CatherineJohnson)

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-- CatherineJohnson - 27 Jul 2005
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I think he said that 46% of all Singapore kids definitely are in the top 10% of all kids, right?

Let me check.

-- CatherineJohnson - 27 Jul 2005


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 <<O>>  Difference Topic EnglandVsAmericaVsSingapore (r1.4 - 27 Jul 2005 - CatherineJohnson)

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-- CatherineJohnson - 27 Jul 2005
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OK, here's my assumption, since it's probably easier for you to follow my reasoning ...

I'm assuming a normal distribution for the Singapore kids, with the top of the curve centered on the 505, which is their median score.

That means 50% of Singapore kid, or 49%, will be above 505....but since 46% of Singapore kids were in the top 10% of all test takers, that tells me that not all of that group could have scored above 605. A bunch of them would have had to score between 505 and 605, right?

Or is that wrong?

I'm going to figure out your comment now.

-- CatherineJohnson - 27 Jul 2005


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 <<O>>  Difference Topic EnglandVsAmericaVsSingapore (r1.3 - 27 Jul 2005 - CatherineJohnson)

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27 Jul 2005 - 13:48
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-- CarolynJohnston - 27 Jul 2005
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I'm too hot to read this.

OK, let me think.

I'm assuming a normal distribution, which I vaguely understand.

-- CatherineJohnson - 27 Jul 2005


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 <<O>>  Difference Topic EnglandVsAmericaVsSingapore (r1.2 - 27 Jul 2005 - CarolynJohnston)

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Look here for syntax help.

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I think you're confusing two different populations here -- one is the population of all kids who took the test, and the other is the population of kids in Singapore who took the test.

The information you're missing is the standard deviation for all these populations -- the 'spread' of the bell curve. You can't figure it out without that bit of info.

Assuming that the distribution for the Singaporeans is a bell curve centered at 605, with a spread-out standard deviation (i.e. a 'fat' rather than 'narrow' bell curve, it is possible that 46% of the Singapore population earned a score above 625.

And it's likely (even without knowing the standard deviations!) that 46% of the Singapore kids were in the top 10% of the population of all kids who took the test, simply because the Singapore average was so high.

-- CarolynJohnston - 27 Jul 2005


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 <<O>>  Difference Topic EnglandVsAmericaVsSingapore (r1.1 - 27 Jul 2005 - CatherineJohnson)
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27 Jul 2005 - 13:48

top students in England, U.S., & Singapore

The British report, Where will the next generation of UK mathematicians come from?, (pdf file) includes this passage about the TIMSS study (Trends in International Mathematics and Science Study):

[a score of] 625 was fixed as the “Advanced benchmark”. In the “Comparison group” of countries [essentially, all countries with advanced economies], 13% of 14 year olds scored at this higher level – which might be taken as a rough indication of those who are well-positioned to subsequently study mathematics and other highly numerate subjects with some prospect of success post-16, or at university.

Naturally some countries in the “Comparison group” had a larger percentage performing at or above this level, while some fared worse. A mere 7% of the USA sample scored at or above this ”Advanced benchmark” level. And the International average was just 6%. But the results for England should have struck Ministers and officials as far more disturbing: the percentage of English 14 year olds scoring above the “Advanced benchmark” was just 5%!



I found this confusing, because the report tosses around a number of figures:

  • 5 to 10% of any population are 'GATE' (gifted and talented) in maths

  • the top 25% 'most able' of any population 'is likely to include most of those who have the potential ultimately to become competent workers in those areas that increasingly require serious mathematical skills – including mathematics teaching'

  • and, finally, students who score 625 or above on TIMSS and are deemed to be 'well-positioned' to study math &/or 'other highly numerate subjects' (e.g., economics) in college



My question was: if the U.S. had 7% of its students in this above-625 level, and the developed world's average was 13%, how bad is our 7%?

And what was Singapore's number?

Well, I just found it, or something close to. It's high.

Forty-six percent of Singapore’s students were among the top 10 percent of all test takers, five times the 9 percent of U.S. students. Even a Singaporean student in the bottom quartile of Singaporean students outperformed more than two-thirds of U.S. students (Mullis, et al., 2000). In 2003, Singapore’s eighth-grade students retained the top average score among student from 46 countries (Mullis, et al., 2004).


I still don't know how a score above 625 relates to the various percentiles being bandied about. I'm assuming students in the top 10% on TIMSS received scores above 625, but I don't know. If that's true, it looks like almost half of Singapore's students could succeed in college-level mathematics or 'other highly numerate subjects.'

Only 7 to 9% of U.S. students are in a position to major in math, science, economics, or even the 'soft' sciences like experimental psychology & political science (which is pure math these days). I don't know anything about accounting, but these figures don't sound great for how many high school students are prepared to pursue accounting careers, either. And since calculus is still an entry requirement for business schools, we've got a pretty thin slice of the population on-track for B-school entry.

So I'm guessing we'll be seeing an upswing in applications to law school in 2011.

What the United States Can Learn From Singapore's World-Class Mathematics System (and what Singapore can learn from the United States): An Exploratory Study
(link takes you to recommended reading page, which includes a comment & an attached pdf file of the full report)

update

OK, I'm losing patience with online pdf files, so I'll post these links and go clean up my desk (and my floor).

The 'big' report on the 2003 TIMSS seems to be this one:
TIMSS 2003 Technical Report (pdf files for all chapters)
Martin, M.O., Mullis, I.V.S., & Chrostowski, S.J. (Eds.)(2004)

I haven't been able to track down the percentile that corresponds to a score of 625, although it strikes me that I may have 'sufficient information,' as the story problems put it, to figure it out myself. (If we know how many Singapore students scored in the top 10%, and we know the average score of Singapore students--does that do it? I don't know! I will have to investigate!)

I did find this table showing average scores for each country (England was ommitted for some unspecified reason, & I don't see France on here, either....we may be lousy at math in this country, but we also have a glaring deficiency in Information Architecture....).

Singapore's average score is 605; ours is 504.

table5.gif

update, update

OK, now I need some math help. (Apparently I am not in the 10% or 25% or heaven-only-knows-what percent who is in position to major in economics in college any time soon.)

If the average score of Singapore kids is 505, and 625 is a reasonable cut-off for students in position to major in 'highly numerate' subjects in college...that means that the 46% of Singapore kids who scored in the top 10% could not possibly all have scored above 625, right? (Unless the distribution were extremely odd, of course.)

Am I missing a step?

update 3

Good grief.

I used the wrong average for Singapore.

Their average is 605, not 505.

I realize an average is not a median, but setting that aside, and making the mean stand in for the median just this once.....they've got half of their kids scoring 605 or better, just 15 points shy of the 625 cut-off.

Incredible.

Here's Carolyn's comment:

I think you're confusing two different populations here -- one is the population of all kids who took the test, and the other is the population of kids in Singapore who took the test.

The information you're missing is the standard deviation for all these populations -- the 'spread' of the bell curve. You can't figure it out without that bit of info.

Assuming that the distribution for the Singaporeans is a bell curve centered at 605, with a spread-out standard deviation (i.e. a 'fat' rather than 'narrow' bell curve, it is possible that 46% of the Singapore population earned a score above 625.

And it's likely (even without knowing the standard deviations!) that 46% of the Singapore kids were in the top 10% of the population of all kids who took the test, simply because the Singapore average was so high.




a word problem only the top 10% of 9 year olds can do

maths in England
maths in England, part 2
more maths in England, part 2
top students in England, US, & Singapore
why do kids like math?
Catherine's cousin talks about Everyday Math

Call for national debate on maths teaching GUARDIAN
Where will the next generation of UK mathematicians come from? (GOVT REPORT: pdf file)



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Topic: EnglandVsAmericaVsSingapore . { View | Diffs | r1.8 | > | r1.7 | > | r1.6 | More }

Revision r1.1 - 27 Jul 2005 - 13:48 - CatherineJohnson
Revision r1.8 - 13 Nov 2005 - 18:29 - CatherineJohnson